Rumor 1.) Android 3.0 (Gingerbread) is due in mid-October, with the first handsets shipping in the Nov/Dec range for the holidays (which sounds like a revisitation of 2.0)
Rumor 2.) Minimum hardware requirements for Android 3.0 devices are: 1GHZ CPU, 512MB or RAM, displays from 3.5″ and higher.
Rumor 3.) A New 1280×760 resolution is available for the devices with displays of 4″ and higher (I keep screaming “convergence,” but I don’t know if anybody is listening…)
Rumor 4.) Completely new 3D-esque UI. This one seems almost logical. Hopefully you will be able to turn off all animations.
Rumor 5.) 3.0 will be for high end devices, and lower-end handsets will keep Android 2.1/2.2

I’m going to make two predictions, one a longshot, one more logical.

Here are the factors adding up:

1.) Verizon’s Getting an Android phone (and we now know Eric Schmidt’s boner for Verizon)

2.) At the Google earnings call late in the day today, Eric Schmidt says, “Android adoption is about to explode.”

3.) …on the same day the giant Eclair lands?

Prediction one (longshot) Verizon is getting the first Android 2.0 phone.

I mean, they only released the Donut SDK last month…and we first heard about that in May. BUT if you remember, as I’m sure you do, they showed off all the Donut features at Google I/O not even one month after the big foam Cupcake dropped and all our G1s updated.

It’s too early in Android’s lifespan to be able to predict these kind of trends, but dropping a comically huge representation of the OS’s codename is about as obvious a hint as you could hope to receive. Something with Eclair is going to happen very soon.

What sucks is that we don’t know anything about Eclair, really. So that leads me to my second, and probably more likely prediction:

Verizon and AT&T will be getting their Android phones at the same time as Sprint and T-Mobile gets their new devices, summarily “exploding” the OS onto all United States carriers with four new devices…then after the five minutes of pants-pooping is over, and tons of new Android users are born, we’ll get to see an early build of Eclair to tease the new users with sick new upcoming features.

Also, Michael Arrington commented on the article I linked to above, saying he’s seen a new Android device that’ll “blow everyone away.” (I could have the quote wrong, but that’s the gist of it.) I’m hoping it’s Rachael from Sony Ericsson, because that looks really hot. But hell, it could be something even better.

All of this, combined with the daily media coverage making the “duh!” prediction that Android is on its way to market domination make it a very good time to be an Android early adopter, and everyone who’s going through the 528MHz generation right now has my personal permission to refer to himself as an “O.G.”

…or something less dorky.

Like that 90′s X Files T-shirt used to say…I want to believe.

But I’m not the type of person to say that something is going to happen because it’s extremely plausible. And believe me, it IS plausible. The Barnes and Noble e-reader made by Plastic Logic, hooked up to the AT&T wireless network, equipped with the B&N e-book store is debuting in just a couple of weeks and it looks like it’s going to be the Kindle’s best competition so far. You throw Android in that mess and give it the ability to install third party apps, you break down the device’s insular functionality that has kept many customers from jumping on board the e-reader train (i.e. “why would I buy a device that only does one thing?”)

I talked to Ericsson a couple of weeks ago, and they see a ton of potential in the e-reader market. They released their always-on wireless SoC for embedded systems and really emphasized its utility in the form factor. It seems like everybody in the industry has got e-book fever. Hell, I have been praying to the almighty Gods of capitalism for E Ink Co. to go IPO, but it’s still not a publicly traded company. (Those guys make the Vizplex imaging film used in literally EVERY e-reader product and I want in!)

But the non-early adopting, average run-of-the-mill consumer still hasn’t taken note of the technology, and they probably won’t for a couple of years.

This is another one of those reasons why this rumor clicks…it’s taking two tech industry hot topics and mashing them together into something that makes a lot of sense.

But the thing is, the Android experience would be nonexistent in the current generation of e-readers. I mean, shit….I have my doubts about the Archos PMP that debuted running Android today. But on an E Ink screen? Come on, those screens take like 2 seconds to refresh…there’s really no way yet to have animation on them. The “Android Experience” would consist of the framework for a menu screen and little else. Yes, it’s an open source platform suitable for embedded systems, but I have serious doubts about Android making an upfront appearance on an e-reader, even though the interoperability with the myriad Google services is a hugely tantalizing and exciting proposition (think about geotagged e-books…holy fuck.)

I’d also hate to have to ditch my Kindle 2 after only 6 months.

Verizon’s on board with its first Android device in the next couple of weeks, and Eric Schmidt slathered praise all over Verizon like barbecue sauce on a chicken wing. I quote: “It’s absolutely a fact that Verizon’s data network is the best in the US by far, and I’m not talking ten percent here, I’m talking about many multiples.”

Now the rumors are flying that AT&T is coming out with its first Android device, and not just any device, but the Dell Dork Phone I (aka the Mini 3i) that I talked about a few weeks ago. To be honest, my interest in that was only half-hearted and if I don’t get my hands on one, it’s going to lose out to something much more concrete like the freakin’ 800 MHz Samsung Moment.

What are we looking at, then?

Pretty much what we all expected, right? It’s not world domination or anything, but Android this week stepped onto the threshold of being a viable, multi-handset option on all carriers.

Meanwhile, Gartner is predicting that Android will have a market share only exceeded by Symbian by 2012. 14.5% or roughly 72 million phones per year. That would cut Symbian down to 39% and iPhone down to 13%, Blackberry would stay at 12.8% and Windows Mobile to 12.5%.

From inception to the number 2 in the world in four years.

Let’s see how long it took Symbian…well, its roots go back pretty damn far. Let’s start at the Psion Series 5 EPOC 32 days in 1997, which turned into Symbian in 1998. It wasn’t until 2004 that it began moving like crazy. So roughly six years from birth to the top?

So maybe 2014 for Android to take the #1 spot? Heh…maybe, but it’s late and I have a headache.